Canadian Underwriter

XL Group’s preliminary loss estimate for nat-Cats in 2016 Q2 US$240 million, Fort Mac wildfires largest loss

July 14, 2016   by Canadian Underwriter

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XL Group plc’s preliminary net loss estimate relating to natural catastrophes – including the largest single loss from the Alberta wildfires – is US$240 million for the second quarter of 2016, the company announced Wednesday.

This estimate – pretax and net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums – is split approximately US$100 million in the Group’s Insurance segment and US$140 million in its Reinsurance segment, notes a company statement. The estimates are based on a review of individual treaties and policies expected to be impacted, as well as available client and industry data.

XL Group reports that losses contributing to the preliminary estimate include, among others, wildfires in Canada, flooding in Europe, earthquakes in Japan and Ecuador and hailstorms in the United States.

“In aggregate, natural catastrophe events are estimated to result in losses to the (re)insurance industry in excess of US$16 billion in the second quarter of 2016,” the statement notes.

For XL Group, the wildfires in and around Fort McMurray account for about half – or US$120 million – of the company’s total preliminary loss estimate for 2016 Q2 and is primarily a Reinsurance segment loss.

“Given that the facts are still developing, as well as the complexities of the nature of the events, there is considerable uncertainty associated with the loss estimates of these events and such estimates are accordingly subject to revision as additional information becomes available,” the company emphasizes.

“Actual losses may differ materially from these preliminary estimates,” adds XL Group, a global insurance and reinsurance company that provides property, casualty and specialty products to industrial, commercial and professional firms, insurance companies and other enterprises.

XL Group is scheduled to release its second quarter 2016 results on July 27.

It reported in late April, as part of the 2016 Q1 results, that P&C combined ratio was 92.5%, up from 88.9% in the prior-year quarter; P&C gross premiums written (GPW) increased 75.7% as a result of the combination with Catlin; Reinsurance segment GPW rose 124.7%, primarily as a result of the combination with Catlin; and net written premiums were US$3,064,759 compared to $1,851,249.

Related: XL Group combined ratio up 3.6 points in Q1 2016

Also this week, Chubb Limited released its preliminary 2016 Q2 loss estimate – net of reinsurance and including reinstatement premiums – related to natural catastrophes. Amounting to US$390 million pre-tax (US$315 million after tax), US$320 million of the total is from natural catastrophes in North America and US$70 million is from events outside North America.

Related: Nat cats in Q2 2016 cost Chubb an estimated US$390 million

The company’s estimate covers losses for multiple weather events in the U.S., earthquakes in Japan and Ecuador, the wildfires in Fort McMurray and the floods in Europe, among other natural catastrophes.

Globally, there were “more than 25 events with estimated insured losses ranging from US$15 billion to over US$20 billion.”