Roughly a 50% chance that Hurricane Earl makes landfall in Nova Scotia on Sept. 4

The Canadian Hurricane Centre estimates there is between a 40% and a 50% chance of Hurricane Earl making landfall in Nova Scotia in the early morning of Sept. 4.
“Probabilistic computer models generally show about a 80% chance of at least gale-force winds (60 to 70 km-h) over land in Nova Scotia,” the centre said in a Sept. 1 bulletin. “Our statistical guidance indicates about an 85% chance of Earl entering Canadian forecast waters as a hurricane, and 40% to 50% chance of a land falling hurricane in Nova Scotia.”
As of Sept. 1, hurricane warnings were issued in North Carolina, as Earl was predicted to become a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained wind speeds of 204 km-h.
AIR Worlwide issued a press release estimating Hurricane Earl caused between $50 million and $150 million of insured damages when it passed through the Virgin Islands, St. Maarten, St. Martin and Puerto Rico on Aug. 30. “Nearly half of the total is attributed to St. Maarten, where high winds downed trees and power lines and peeled off roofs and signage,” AIR announced.
In anticipation of a potential Atlantic Canada landfall, the Insurance Bureau of Canada issued a press release on Sept. 1 advising policyholders to familiarize themselves with what their property insurance covers.
“It’s important that consumers know what to expect from their insurance,” said Bill Adams, IBC’s vice president of the Atlantic region. “Coverage and deductibles vary with individual policies, so it’s good to know the details of your own insurance contract.”