Some reinsurers use the catastrophe models of third-party vendors; others have opted to develop their own internal models to estimate losses. But despite significant improvements in data collection and computing power, there will always be some level of uncertainty in Cat models, especially those attempting to predict losses from human-induced disasters like cyber attacks or nuclear terrorism.
Hurricane losses in the United States equal to at least 15% of industry aggregate surplus in 2016 would likely promote a shift toward positive pricing movement, although any upward movement would be dampened by existing underwriting capacity for primary and…
More than 6.8 million homes on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the United States are at potential risk of damage from hurricane storm surge inundation, with a total reconstruction cost value of more than US$1.5 trillion, CoreLogic said on…
Total economic losses from a winter storm in Ontario and Quebec in March were estimated to approach $130 million (US$100 million), while insurers anticipated losses well into the tens of millions in U.S. dollars, according to Impact Forecasting’s Global Catastrophe…
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), part of Aon Benfield Research’s academic and industry collaboration, is forecasting 12 named storms, six hurricanes and two major (Category 3+) hurricanes between the months of June and November. The April forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane…
For the second year in a row, Canada had “few natural disasters” in 2015, while the Aug. 12 explosions arising from sodium cyanide in the Chinese port of Tianjin shows that insurers need “more risk mapping in aggregation points,” Swiss…